Evan Elder vs Preston Parsons
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-2-0Record11-6-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height5'11"
72"Reach71"
155 lbsWeight170 lbs
Nick Diaz AcademyTeamElevate MMA
What's at stake
Evan Elder is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Preston Parsons carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1664
If they lose-18→ 1632
If they win+18→ 1628
If they lose-14→ 1596
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1542 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1596 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Evan ElderPreston Parsons
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Evan Elder60%
Preston Parsons 40%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Evan Elder a 60% favorite over Preston Parsons in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Evan Elder holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1650 to 1610, a 40-point edge.
Evan Elder enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Preston Parsons enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Evan Elder finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Preston Parsons 82%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.