AdvertisementRemove ads — go Premium
Combat Edge Intelligence

Evan Esguerra vs Ulysse Ndong

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

8-7-0Record3-2-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'7"Height5'8"
TBDReach-
140 lbsWeight148 lbs
True Fight ClubTeamFight Move Academy· 1617 avg Elo · 3 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Evan EsguerraNow 1522
If they win+16→ 1538
If they lose-16→ 1506
Ulysse NdongNow 1522
If they win+24→ 1546
If they lose-24→ 1498

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1516 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1505 · 5 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
Not available
Strike accuracy
Not available
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
Not available
Strike defense
Not available
Not available
Takedown avg.
Not available
Not available
Takedown accuracy
Not available
Not available
Takedown defense
Not available
Not available
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Evan EsguerraUlysse Ndong
150015502011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (38%)
KO/TKO
2 (67%)
1 (13%)
Submission
0 (0%)
4 (50%)
Decision
1 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Ulysse Ndong54%
Evan Esguerra 46%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Ulysse Ndong a 54% favorite over Evan Esguerra in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Evan Esguerra's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1522 vs 1522), separated by just 0 points.

Evan Esguerra finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Ulysse Ndong 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.