Combat Edge Intelligence

Evan Tanner vs Gerald Meerschaert

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

32-8-0Record37-22-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'1"
TBDReach 77"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Hard Knocks KickboxingTeamKill Cliff FC

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Evan TannerNow 1652
If they win+12→ 1664
If they lose-12→ 1640
Gerald MeerschaertNow 1650
If they win+12→ 1662
If they lose-12→ 1638

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1617 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1688 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.05
Sig. strikes / min
3.01
59%
Strike accuracy
45%
2.64
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.52
56%
Strike defense
53%
2.55
Takedown avg.
1.82
43%
Takedown accuracy
30%
25%
Takedown defense
43%
1.34
Submission avg.
1.38

Trajectory

Evan TannerGerald Meerschaert
16501700200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

12 (38%)
KO/TKO
6 (16%)
17 (53%)
Submission
29 (78%)
3 (9%)
Decision
2 (5%)

Combat Edge model read

Gerald Meerschaert56%
Evan Tanner 44%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Gerald Meerschaert a 56% favorite over Evan Tanner in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Evan Tanner's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1652 vs 1650), separated by just 2 points.

Gerald Meerschaert enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Evan Tanner finishes 91% of wins inside the distance, Gerald Meerschaert 95%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.