Evan Tanner vs Justin Levens
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
32-8-0Record9-8-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height5'10"
TBDReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Hard Knocks KickboxingTeamCSW
What's at stake
Evan Tanner is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Justin Levens carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+7→ 1659
If they lose-17→ 1635
If they win+23→ 1506
If they lose-9→ 1474
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1617 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1576 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Evan TannerJustin Levens
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Evan Tanner65%
Justin Levens 35%Elo baseline: 73%
The Combat Edge model makes Evan Tanner a 65% favorite over Justin Levens in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (73%).
Evan Tanner holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1652 to 1483, a 169-point edge.
Justin Levens enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Evan Tanner finishes 91% of wins inside the distance, Justin Levens 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.