Evan Tanner vs Phil Baroni
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
32-8-0Record16-19-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'9"
TBDReachTBD
185 lbsWeight170 lbs
Hard Knocks KickboxingTeamAmerican Kickboxing Academy
What's at stake
Evan Tanner is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Phil Baroni carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+8→ 1660
If they lose-16→ 1636
If they win+16→ 1563
If they lose-8→ 1539
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1617 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1566 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Evan TannerPhil Baroni
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Evan Tanner61%
Phil Baroni 39%Elo baseline: 65%
The Combat Edge model makes Evan Tanner a 61% favorite over Phil Baroni in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (65%).
Evan Tanner holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1652 to 1547, a 105-point edge.
Evan Tanner finishes 91% of wins inside the distance, Phil Baroni 81%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.