Combat Edge Intelligence

Evan Tanner vs Rich Franklin

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

32-8-0Record29-7-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'1"
TBDReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Hard Knocks KickboxingTeamTeam Extreme

What's at stake

Rich Franklin is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Evan Tanner carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Evan TannerNow 1652
If they win+14→ 1666
If they lose-10→ 1642
Rich FranklinNow 1710
If they win+10→ 1720
If they lose-14→ 1696

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1617 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1689 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.05
Sig. strikes / min
4.10
59%
Strike accuracy
44%
2.64
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.07
56%
Strike defense
63%
2.55
Takedown avg.
1.31
43%
Takedown accuracy
67%
25%
Takedown defense
63%
1.34
Submission avg.
0.66

Trajectory

Evan TannerRich Franklin
165017002006200720082009201020112012

Win method breakdown

12 (38%)
KO/TKO
20 (69%)
17 (53%)
Submission
5 (17%)
3 (9%)
Decision
4 (14%)

Combat Edge model read

Rich Franklin73%
Evan Tanner 27%Elo baseline: 58%

The Combat Edge model makes Rich Franklin a 73% favorite over Evan Tanner in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).

Rich Franklin holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1710 to 1652, a 58-point edge.

Evan Tanner finishes 91% of wins inside the distance, Rich Franklin 86%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.