Combat Edge Intelligence

Evan Tanner vs Yushin Okami

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Yushin Okami
jp

Yushin Okami

“Thunder”

37-15-0MiddleweightShooto

1667Good

Tale of the tape

32-8-0Record37-15-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'2"
TBDReach41,5"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Hard Knocks KickboxingTeamEXFIGHT

What's at stake

Yushin Okami is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Evan Tanner carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Evan TannerNow 1652
If they win+13→ 1665
If they lose-11→ 1641
Yushin OkamiNow 1667
If they win+11→ 1678
If they lose-13→ 1654

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1617 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1546 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.05
Sig. strikes / min
2.06
59%
Strike accuracy
38%
2.64
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.25
56%
Strike defense
61%
2.55
Takedown avg.
1.98
43%
Takedown accuracy
39%
25%
Takedown defense
84%
1.34
Submission avg.
0.48

Trajectory

Evan TannerYushin Okami
1650200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023

Win method breakdown

12 (38%)
KO/TKO
14 (39%)
17 (53%)
Submission
3 (8%)
3 (9%)
Decision
19 (53%)

Combat Edge model read

Yushin Okami56%
Evan Tanner 44%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Yushin Okami a 56% favorite over Evan Tanner in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Yushin Okami holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1667 to 1652, a 15-point edge.

Evan Tanner finishes 91% of wins inside the distance, Yushin Okami 47%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.