Combat Edge Intelligence

Evangelista Santos vs Omar Hussein

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

21-18-0Record12-7-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height6'1"
TBDReach73"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Chute Boxe Team CyborgTeamTeam Alpha Male· 1645 avg Elo · 21 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Evangelista SantosNow 1570
If they win+12→ 1582
If they lose-12→ 1558
Omar HusseinNow 1570
If they win+16→ 1586
If they lose-16→ 1554

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1615 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1525 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
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Strike accuracy
TBD
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
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Strike defense
TBD
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Takedown avg.
TBD
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Takedown accuracy
TBD
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Takedown defense
TBD
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Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Evangelista SantosOmar Hussein
1500155016002014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

14 (67%)
KO/TKO
3 (25%)
4 (19%)
Submission
4 (33%)
3 (14%)
Decision
5 (42%)

Combat Edge model read

Omar Hussein66%
Evangelista Santos 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Omar Hussein a 66% favorite over Evangelista Santos in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Evangelista Santos's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1570 vs 1570), separated by just 0 points.

Evangelista Santos enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Omar Hussein enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Evangelista Santos finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Omar Hussein 58%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.