Evangelista Santos vs Yota Hayashi
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
21-18-0Record13-9-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'10"
TBDReachTBD
170 lbsWeight168 lbs
Chute Boxe Team CyborgTeamReversal Gym Osaka Anne
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1582
If they lose-12→ 1558
If they win+16→ 1586
If they lose-16→ 1554
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1615 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1506 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Evangelista SantosYota Hayashi
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Yota Hayashi70%
Evangelista Santos 30%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Yota Hayashi a 70% favorite over Evangelista Santos in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Evangelista Santos's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1570 vs 1570), separated by just 0 points.
Evangelista Santos enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Yota Hayashi enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Evangelista Santos finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Yota Hayashi 54%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.