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Combat Edge Intelligence

Evgeny Egemberdiev vs Michael Patt

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

13-6-0Record12-4-0
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'0"
-ReachTBD
209 lbsWeight205 lbs
Arlan MMA Pro TeamTeamMeat Truck Inc.

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Evgeny EgemberdievNow 1611
If they win+16→ 1627
If they lose-16→ 1595
Michael PattNow 1610
If they win+16→ 1626
If they lose-16→ 1594

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1588 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1525 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
1.65
Not available
Strike accuracy
29%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.53
Not available
Strike defense
56%
Not available
Takedown avg.
0
Not available
Takedown accuracy
0%
Not available
Takedown defense
0%
Not available
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Evgeny EgemberdievMichael Patt
1600165020072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (62%)
KO/TKO
1 (8%)
2 (15%)
Submission
9 (75%)
3 (23%)
Decision
2 (17%)

Combat Edge model read

Evgeny Egemberdiev64%
Michael Patt 36%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Evgeny Egemberdiev a 64% favorite over Michael Patt in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1611 vs 1610), separated by just 1 points.

Evgeny Egemberdiev enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Michael Patt enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Evgeny Egemberdiev finishes 77% of wins inside the distance, Michael Patt 83%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.