Combat Edge Intelligence

Evgeny Egemberdiev vs Mirza Hopovac

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Mirza Hopovac
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Mirza Hopovac

“The Bosnian Bomber”

4-0-0Light HeavyweightUMMA

1606Solid

Tale of the tape

13-6-0Record4-0-0
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'2"
-Reach-
209 lbsWeight204 lbs
Arlan MMA Pro TeamTeam613 Fight Factory· 1599 avg Elo · 4 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Evgeny EgemberdievNow 1611
If they win+16→ 1627
If they lose-16→ 1595
Mirza HopovacNow 1606
If they win+24→ 1630
If they lose-24→ 1582

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1588 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1507 · 4 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
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Strike accuracy
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
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Strike defense
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Takedown avg.
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Takedown accuracy
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Takedown defense
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Submission avg.
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Trajectory

Evgeny EgemberdievMirza Hopovac
155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (62%)
KO/TKO
4 (100%)
2 (15%)
Submission
0 (0%)
3 (23%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Evgeny Egemberdiev55%
Mirza Hopovac 45%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Evgeny Egemberdiev a 55% favorite over Mirza Hopovac in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1611 vs 1606), separated by just 5 points.

Evgeny Egemberdiev enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Mirza Hopovac enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Evgeny Egemberdiev finishes 77% of wins inside the distance, Mirza Hopovac 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.