Evgeny Erokhin vs Guy Mezger
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
26-14-0Record30-13-2
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height6'1"
-ReachTBD
207 lbsWeight200 lbs
TeamLion's Den Dallas
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1648
If they lose-12→ 1624
If they win+12→ 1651
If they lose-12→ 1627
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1609 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1562 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Evgeny ErokhinGuy Mezger
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Evgeny Erokhin65%
Guy Mezger 35%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Evgeny Erokhin a 65% favorite over Guy Mezger in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Guy Mezger's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1636 vs 1639), separated by just 3 points.
Evgeny Erokhin enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Evgeny Erokhin finishes 81% of wins inside the distance, Guy Mezger 57%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.