Evgeny Goncharov vs Jailton Almeida
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
24-3-0Record22-6-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'1"Height6'4"
-Reach79"
266 lbsWeight241 lbs
Raty Team· 1670 avg Elo · 14 ratedTeamGalpao da Luta· 1679 avg Elo · 5 rated
What's at stake
Evgeny Goncharov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Jailton Almeida carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1783
If they lose-13→ 1759
If they win+13→ 1768
If they lose-11→ 1744
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1672 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1734 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Evgeny GoncharovJailton Almeida
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jailton Almeida64%
Evgeny Goncharov 36%Elo baseline: 48%
The Combat Edge model makes Jailton Almeida a 64% favorite over Evgeny Goncharov in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Evgeny Goncharov's way (48%).
Evgeny Goncharov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1772 to 1755, a 17-point edge.
Evgeny Goncharov enters on a 9-fight win streak.
Jailton Almeida enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Evgeny Goncharov finishes 42% of wins inside the distance, Jailton Almeida 95%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.