Evgeny Goncharov vs Jailton Almeida
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
23-3-0Record22-5-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'1"Height6'4"
-Reach79"
266 lbsWeight241 lbs
Raty Team· 1670 avg Elo · 13 ratedTeamGalpao da Luta· 1691 avg Elo · 5 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1772
If they lose-12→ 1748
If they win+15→ 1786
If they lose-17→ 1754
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1650 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1717 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Evgeny GoncharovJailton Almeida
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jailton Almeida76%
Evgeny Goncharov 24%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Jailton Almeida a 76% favorite over Evgeny Goncharov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1760 vs 1771), separated by just 11 points.
Evgeny Goncharov enters on a 8-fight win streak.
Jailton Almeida enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Evgeny Goncharov finishes 43% of wins inside the distance, Jailton Almeida 95%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.