Evgeny Goncharov vs Philip De Fries
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
24-3-0Record25-6-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'1"Height6'4"
-ReachTBD
266 lbsWeight264 lbs
Raty Team· 1671 avg Elo · 14 ratedTeamAlliance MMA· 1651 avg Elo · 5 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1784
If they lose-12→ 1760
If they win+12→ 1782
If they lose-12→ 1758
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1672 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1651 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Evgeny GoncharovPhilip De Fries
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Evgeny Goncharov54%
Philip De Fries 46%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Evgeny Goncharov a 54% favorite over Philip De Fries in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1772 vs 1770), separated by just 2 points.
Evgeny Goncharov enters on a 9-fight win streak.
Philip De Fries enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Evgeny Goncharov finishes 42% of wins inside the distance, Philip De Fries 80%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.