Evgeny Goncharov vs Stipe Miocic
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
24-3-0Record20-5-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'1"Height6'4"
-Reach 80"
266 lbsWeight234 lbs
Raty Team· 1670 avg Elo · 14 ratedTeamStrong Style Fight Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1784
If they lose-12→ 1760
If they win+16→ 1782
If they lose-16→ 1750
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1672 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1805 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Evgeny GoncharovStipe Miocic
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Evgeny Goncharov and Stipe Miocic within a point of even.
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1772 vs 1766), separated by just 6 points.
Evgeny Goncharov enters on a 9-fight win streak.
Stipe Miocic enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Evgeny Goncharov finishes 42% of wins inside the distance, Stipe Miocic 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.