Evgeny Goncharov vs Stipe Miocic
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
23-3-0Record20-5-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'1"Height6'4"
-Reach 80"
266 lbsWeight234 lbs
Raty Team· avg 1674 EloTeamStrong Style Fight Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1772
If they lose-12→ 1748
If they win+16→ 1781
If they lose-16→ 1749
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1648 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1802 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Evgeny GoncharovStipe Miocic
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Evgeny Goncharov70%
Stipe Miocic 30%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Evgeny Goncharov a 70% favorite over Stipe Miocic in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Stipe Miocic's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1760 vs 1765), separated by just 5 points.
Evgeny Goncharov enters on a 8-fight win streak.
Stipe Miocic enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Evgeny Goncharov finishes 43% of wins inside the distance, Stipe Miocic 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.