Evgeny Goncharov vs Valter Walker
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
23-3-0Record16-1-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'1"Height6'6"
-Reach 78"
266 lbsWeight264 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1772
If they lose-12→ 1748
If they win+16→ 1771
If they lose-16→ 1739
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1648 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1581 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Evgeny GoncharovValter Walker
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Valter Walker58%
Evgeny Goncharov 42%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Valter Walker a 58% favorite over Evgeny Goncharov in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Evgeny Goncharov's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1760 vs 1755), separated by just 5 points.
Evgeny Goncharov enters on a 8-fight win streak.
Valter Walker enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Evgeny Goncharov finishes 43% of wins inside the distance, Valter Walker 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.