Evgeny Morozov vs Shamidkhan Magomedov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-2-0Record10-2-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'8"Height6'0"
-Reach71.5"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Barracuda Fight ClubTeamK Dojo Warrior Tribe Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1688
If they lose-16→ 1656
If they win+16→ 1695
If they lose-16→ 1663
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1531 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1525 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Evgeny MorozovShamidkhan Magomedov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Evgeny Morozov70%
Shamidkhan Magomedov 30%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Evgeny Morozov a 70% favorite over Shamidkhan Magomedov in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Shamidkhan Magomedov's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1672 vs 1679), separated by just 7 points.
Evgeny Morozov enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Evgeny Morozov finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Shamidkhan Magomedov 90%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.