Combat Edge Intelligence

Ewerton Teixeira vs Nicolaj Wagner

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

3-1-0Record5-4-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'2"
TBDReach-
236 lbsWeight249 lbs
Corinthians MMATeamTBD

What's at stake

Nicolaj Wagner is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +22 while a loss costs more — Ewerton Teixeira carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Ewerton TeixeiraNow 1506
If they win+26→ 1532
If they lose-22→ 1484
Nicolaj WagnerNow 1532
If they win+22→ 1554
If they lose-26→ 1506

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1502 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1498 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Ewerton TeixeiraNicolaj Wagner
150015502014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (33%)
KO/TKO
5 (100%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
2 (67%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Nicolaj Wagner76%
Ewerton Teixeira 24%Elo baseline: 54%

The Combat Edge model makes Nicolaj Wagner a 76% favorite over Ewerton Teixeira in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).

Nicolaj Wagner holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1532 to 1506, a 26-point edge.

Ewerton Teixeira enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Ewerton Teixeira finishes 33% of wins inside the distance, Nicolaj Wagner 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.