Ewerton Teixeira vs Ryo Sakai
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
3-1-0Record15-16-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height5'11"
TBDReach-
236 lbsWeight246 lbs
What's at stake
Ewerton Teixeira is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +23 while a loss costs more — Ryo Sakai carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+23→ 1529
If they lose-25→ 1481
If they win+13→ 1504
If they lose-11→ 1480
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1502 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1527 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ewerton TeixeiraRyo Sakai
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ryo Sakai70%
Ewerton Teixeira 30%Elo baseline: 48%
The Combat Edge model makes Ryo Sakai a 70% favorite over Ewerton Teixeira in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ewerton Teixeira's way (48%).
Ewerton Teixeira holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1506 to 1491, a 15-point edge.
Ewerton Teixeira enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Ryo Sakai enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Ewerton Teixeira finishes 33% of wins inside the distance, Ryo Sakai 67%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.