Combat Edge Intelligence

Ezra Elliott vs Shayilan Nuerdanbieke

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

8-0-0Record39-12-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'8"
72"Reach69"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
MMA LabTeamChina Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ezra ElliottNow 1681
If they win+24→ 1705
If they lose-24→ 1657
Shayilan NuerdanbiekeNow 1680
If they win+12→ 1692
If they lose-12→ 1668

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1517 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1584 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

0
Sig. strikes / min
1.95
TBD
Strike accuracy
46%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.64
TBD
Strike defense
50%
TBD
Takedown avg.
3.30
TBD
Takedown accuracy
35%
TBD
Takedown defense
29%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.24

Trajectory

Ezra ElliottShayilan Nuerdanbieke
155016001650170020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (25%)
KO/TKO
19 (49%)
5 (63%)
Submission
10 (26%)
1 (13%)
Decision
10 (26%)

Combat Edge model read

Ezra Elliott71%
Shayilan Nuerdanbieke 29%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Ezra Elliott a 71% favorite over Shayilan Nuerdanbieke in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1681 vs 1680), separated by just 1 points.

Ezra Elliott enters on a 8-fight win streak.

Shayilan Nuerdanbieke enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Ezra Elliott finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Shayilan Nuerdanbieke 74%.

Ezra Elliott carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.