Fábio Henrique vs Jeff Molina
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-2-0Record11-2-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'2"Height5'6"
67"Reach69"
122 lbsWeight125 lbs
Team Nogueira SJRPTeamGlory MMA & Fitness
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1707
If they lose-16→ 1675
If they win+16→ 1708
If they lose-16→ 1676
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1533 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1541 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Fábio HenriqueJeff Molina
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jeff Molina53%
Fábio Henrique 47%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Jeff Molina a 53% favorite over Fábio Henrique in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1691 vs 1692), separated by just 1 points.
Fábio Henrique enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Jeff Molina enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Fábio Henrique finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Jeff Molina 73%.
Jeff Molina carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.