Combat Edge Intelligence

Fabian Edwards vs Khalid Satuev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

16-4-0Record14-1-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height5'10"
79"Reach-
185 lbsWeight172 lbs
Team Renegade· 1731 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamChampion

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Fabian EdwardsNow 1732
If they win+16→ 1748
If they lose-16→ 1716
Khalid SatuevNow 1734
If they win+16→ 1750
If they lose-16→ 1718

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1728 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1559 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Fabian EdwardsKhalid Satuev
17001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (38%)
KO/TKO
6 (43%)
3 (19%)
Submission
3 (21%)
7 (44%)
Decision
5 (36%)

Combat Edge model read

Khalid Satuev51%
Fabian Edwards 49%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Khalid Satuev a 51% favorite over Fabian Edwards in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1732 vs 1734), separated by just 2 points.

Khalid Satuev enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Fabian Edwards finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Khalid Satuev 64%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.