Fabian Edwards vs Paulo Filho
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-5-0Record24-6-3
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height5'8"
79"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Team Renegade· 1736 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamBrazilian Top Team· 1660 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1747
If they lose-16→ 1715
If they win+12→ 1743
If they lose-12→ 1719
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1730 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1561 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Fabian EdwardsPaulo Filho
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Fabian Edwards63%
Paulo Filho 37%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Fabian Edwards a 63% favorite over Paulo Filho in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1731 vs 1731), separated by just 0 points.
Fabian Edwards finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Paulo Filho 58%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.