Combat Edge Intelligence

Fabian Edwards vs Shamil Abdulaev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

16-4-0Record16-2-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'0"
79"Reach-
185 lbsWeight185 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Fabian EdwardsNow 1732
If they win+16→ 1748
If they lose-16→ 1716
Shamil AbdulaevNow 1733
If they win+16→ 1749
If they lose-16→ 1717

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1728 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1581 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Fabian EdwardsShamil Abdulaev
17001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (38%)
KO/TKO
8 (50%)
3 (19%)
Submission
1 (6%)
7 (44%)
Decision
7 (44%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Fabian Edwards and Shamil Abdulaev within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1732 vs 1733), separated by just 1 points.

Fabian Edwards finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Shamil Abdulaev 56%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.