Combat Edge Intelligence

Fabian Edwards vs Tim Kennedy

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

16-4-0Record18-6-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height5'11"
79"Reach74,0"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Team RenegadeTeamJackson-Wink MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Fabian EdwardsNow 1731
If they win+16→ 1747
If they lose-16→ 1715
Tim KennedyNow 1730
If they win+16→ 1746
If they lose-16→ 1714

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1728 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1686 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.78
TBD
Strike accuracy
48%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.84
TBD
Strike defense
62%
TBD
Takedown avg.
2.58
TBD
Takedown accuracy
35%
TBD
Takedown defense
71%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.71

Trajectory

Fabian EdwardsTim Kennedy
170017501800201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (38%)
KO/TKO
8 (44%)
3 (19%)
Submission
6 (33%)
7 (44%)
Decision
4 (22%)

Combat Edge model read

Fabian Edwards71%
Tim Kennedy 29%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Fabian Edwards a 71% favorite over Tim Kennedy in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1731 vs 1730), separated by just 1 points.

Tim Kennedy enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Fabian Edwards finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Tim Kennedy 78%.

Fabian Edwards carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.