Combat Edge Intelligence

Fabiano Iha vs Hafeni Nafuka

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Hafeni Nafuka
na

Hafeni Nafuka

“The Namibian Nightmare”

12-5-0LightweightOKMMA

1612Solid

Tale of the tape

10-5-0Record12-5-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'10"
TBDReach-
155 lbsWeight155 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Fabiano IhaNow 1611
If they win+16→ 1627
If they lose-16→ 1595
Hafeni NafukaNow 1612
If they win+16→ 1628
If they lose-16→ 1596

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1547 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1532 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.73
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
47%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.49
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
43%
Strike defense
TBD
2.88
Takedown avg.
TBD
40%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
50%
Takedown defense
TBD
2.88
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Fabiano IhaHafeni Nafuka
1600165020042005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (30%)
KO/TKO
2 (17%)
7 (70%)
Submission
8 (67%)
0 (0%)
Decision
2 (17%)

Combat Edge model read

Hafeni Nafuka60%
Fabiano Iha 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Hafeni Nafuka a 60% favorite over Fabiano Iha in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1611 vs 1612), separated by just 1 points.

Fabiano Iha enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Fabiano Iha finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Hafeni Nafuka 83%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.