Combat Edge Intelligence

Fabiano Iha vs Michael Johnson

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

10-5-0Record24-20-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'10"
TBDReach73"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
TBDTeamKill Cliff FC

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Fabiano IhaNow 1611
If they win+16→ 1627
If they lose-16→ 1595
Michael JohnsonNow 1613
If they win+12→ 1625
If they lose-12→ 1601

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1547 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1666 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.73
Sig. strikes / min
4.28
47%
Strike accuracy
40%
2.49
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.79
43%
Strike defense
59%
2.88
Takedown avg.
0.58
40%
Takedown accuracy
39%
50%
Takedown defense
81%
2.88
Submission avg.
0.04

Trajectory

Fabiano IhaMichael Johnson
160020042005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (30%)
KO/TKO
10 (42%)
7 (70%)
Submission
2 (8%)
0 (0%)
Decision
12 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Michael Johnson53%
Fabiano Iha 47%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Michael Johnson a 53% favorite over Fabiano Iha in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1611 vs 1613), separated by just 2 points.

Fabiano Iha enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Fabiano Iha finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Michael Johnson 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.