Fabiano Iha vs Phil Johns
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-5-0Record30-14-1
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'8"Height5'2"
TBDReachTBD
155 lbsWeight160 lbs
TeamSilverbacks Vale Tudo
What's at stake
Fabiano Iha is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Phil Johns carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1621
If they lose-22→ 1589
If they win+22→ 1502
If they lose-10→ 1470
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1547 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1559 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Fabiano IhaPhil Johns
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Fabiano Iha57%
Phil Johns 43%Elo baseline: 68%
The Combat Edge model makes Fabiano Iha a 57% favorite over Phil Johns in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (68%).
Fabiano Iha holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1611 to 1480, a 131-point edge.
Fabiano Iha enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Phil Johns enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Fabiano Iha finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Phil Johns 68%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.