Combat Edge Intelligence

Fabiano Scherner vs Sascha Weinpolter

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-11-0Record14-6-1
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'0"
TBDReach-
257 lbsWeight240 lbs
Gracie Barra PortlandTeamIron Fist Gym

What's at stake

Sascha Weinpolter is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +23 while a loss costs more — Fabiano Scherner carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Fabiano SchernerNow 1492
If they win+17→ 1509
If they lose-15→ 1477
Sascha WeinpolterNow 1509
If they win+23→ 1532
If they lose-25→ 1484

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1536 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1521 · 4 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.31
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
32%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.20
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
38%
Strike defense
TBD
1.09
Takedown avg.
TBD
33%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
40%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Fabiano SchernerSascha Weinpolter
15002017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (45%)
KO/TKO
13 (93%)
6 (55%)
Submission
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Decision
1 (7%)

Combat Edge model read

Sascha Weinpolter78%
Fabiano Scherner 22%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Sascha Weinpolter a 78% favorite over Fabiano Scherner in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Sascha Weinpolter holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1509 to 1492, a 17-point edge.

Fabiano Scherner finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Sascha Weinpolter 93%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.