Combat Edge Intelligence

Fabiano Silva vs Francisco Albano Barrio

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Fabiano Silva
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Fabiano Silva

“Jacarezinho”

33-19-1LightweightFNC

1508Average

Tale of the tape

33-19-1Record16-5-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'5"Height5'7"
67"Reach67.7"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
X-GymTeamSBG Ireland

What's at stake

Francisco Albano Barrio is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Fabiano Silva carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Fabiano SilvaNow 1508
If they win+15→ 1523
If they lose-9→ 1499
Francisco Albano BarrioNow 1608
If they win+12→ 1620
If they lose-20→ 1588

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1552 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1482 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
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Strike accuracy
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
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Strike defense
Not available
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Takedown avg.
Not available
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Takedown accuracy
Not available
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Takedown defense
Not available
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Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Fabiano SilvaFrancisco Albano Barrio
150015501600202420252026

Win method breakdown

13 (39%)
KO/TKO
2 (13%)
12 (36%)
Submission
9 (56%)
8 (24%)
Decision
5 (31%)

Combat Edge model read

Francisco Albano Barrio66%
Fabiano Silva 34%Elo baseline: 64%

The Combat Edge model makes Francisco Albano Barrio a 66% favorite over Fabiano Silva in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (64%).

Francisco Albano Barrio holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1608 to 1508, a 100-point edge.

Fabiano Silva enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Fabiano Silva finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Francisco Albano Barrio 69%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.