Fabio Gurgel vs Jerry Bohlander
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
3-2-0Record11-4-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'0"Height5'11"
TBDReachTBD
205 lbsWeight199 lbs
AllianceTeamLion's Den
What's at stake
Jerry Bohlander is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Fabio Gurgel carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+30→ 1558
If they lose-18→ 1510
If they win+12→ 1631
If they lose-20→ 1599
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1501 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1524 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Fabio GurgelJerry Bohlander
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jerry Bohlander65%
Fabio Gurgel 35%Elo baseline: 63%
The Combat Edge model makes Jerry Bohlander a 65% favorite over Fabio Gurgel in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).
Jerry Bohlander holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1619 to 1528, a 91-point edge.
Fabio Gurgel enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Fabio Gurgel finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Jerry Bohlander 91%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.