Combat Edge Intelligence

Fabio Gurgel vs Reed Parrish

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

3-2-0Record0-0-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'0"Height6'2"
TBDReach-
205 lbsWeight245 lbs
AllianceTeamKratos Athletic Center

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Fabio GurgelNow 1528
If they win+24→ 1552
If they lose-24→ 1504
Reed ParrishNow 1529
If they win+24→ 1553
If they lose-24→ 1505

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1501 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 1 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Fabio GurgelReed Parrish
1500199719981999200020012002200320042005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (100%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Reed Parrish63%
Fabio Gurgel 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Reed Parrish a 63% favorite over Fabio Gurgel in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1528 vs 1529), separated by just 1 points.

Fabio Gurgel enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Fabio Gurgel finishes 100% of wins inside the distance.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.