Fábio Maldonado vs Gian Villante
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
28-18-0Record17-14-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'1"Height6'2"
75"Reach76"
227 lbsWeight261 lbs
Team MaldonadoTeamBellmore Kickboxing Academy
What's at stake
Gian Villante is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Fábio Maldonado carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1576
If they lose-11→ 1552
If they win+11→ 1593
If they lose-13→ 1569
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1563 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1630 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Fábio MaldonadoGian Villante
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Gian Villante64%
Fábio Maldonado 36%Elo baseline: 53%
The Combat Edge model makes Gian Villante a 64% favorite over Fábio Maldonado in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).
Gian Villante holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1582 to 1563, a 19-point edge.
Fábio Maldonado enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Gian Villante enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Fábio Maldonado finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Gian Villante 71%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.