Fábio Maldonado vs Glover Teixeira
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
28-18-0Record33-9-0
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height6'2"
75"Reach76"
227 lbsWeight205 lbs
Team MaldonadoTeamTeixeira MMA & Fitness
What's at stake
Glover Teixeira is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +5 while a loss costs more — Fábio Maldonado carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+19→ 1582
If they lose-5→ 1558
If they win+5→ 1816
If they lose-19→ 1792
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1563 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1720 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Fábio MaldonadoGlover Teixeira
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Glover Teixeira84%
Fábio Maldonado 16%Elo baseline: 81%
The Combat Edge model makes Glover Teixeira a 84% favorite over Fábio Maldonado in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (81%).
Glover Teixeira holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1811 to 1563, a 248-point edge.
Fábio Maldonado enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Glover Teixeira enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Fábio Maldonado finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Glover Teixeira 85%.
Fábio Maldonado and Glover Teixeira share 1 common opponent: Jiří Procházka.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.