Fábio Maldonado vs Igor Pokrajac
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
28-18-0Record29-15-0
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height6'0"
75"Reach74,0"
227 lbsWeight205 lbs
Team MaldonadoTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
Igor Pokrajac is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Fábio Maldonado carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1578
If they lose-11→ 1554
If they win+11→ 1603
If they lose-13→ 1579
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1563 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1577 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Fábio MaldonadoIgor Pokrajac
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Fábio Maldonado and Igor Pokrajac within a point of even.
Igor Pokrajac holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1592 to 1565, a 27-point edge.
Fábio Maldonado enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Fábio Maldonado finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Igor Pokrajac 86%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.