Fábio Maldonado vs James McSweeney
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
28-18-0Record15-18-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'1"Height6'4"
75"ReachTBD
227 lbsWeight248 lbs
Team MaldonadoTeamMcSweeney Martial Arts
What's at stake
Fábio Maldonado is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — James McSweeney carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+9→ 1572
If they lose-15→ 1548
If they win+15→ 1501
If they lose-9→ 1477
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1563 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1564 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Fábio MaldonadoJames McSweeney
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Fábio Maldonado67%
James McSweeney 33%Elo baseline: 61%
The Combat Edge model makes Fábio Maldonado a 67% favorite over James McSweeney in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).
Fábio Maldonado holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1563 to 1486, a 77-point edge.
Fábio Maldonado enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
James McSweeney enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Fábio Maldonado finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, James McSweeney 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.