Fábio Maldonado vs Joey Beltran
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
28-18-0Record18-15-0
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height6'1"
75"ReachTBD
227 lbsWeight205 lbs
Team MaldonadoTeamBlackline
What's at stake
Fábio Maldonado is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Joey Beltran carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1574
If they lose-13→ 1550
If they win+13→ 1538
If they lose-11→ 1514
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1563 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1613 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Fábio MaldonadoJoey Beltran
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Fábio Maldonado51%
Joey Beltran 49%Elo baseline: 55%
The Combat Edge model makes Fábio Maldonado a 51% favorite over Joey Beltran in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).
Fábio Maldonado holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1563 to 1525, a 38-point edge.
Fábio Maldonado enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Fábio Maldonado finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Joey Beltran 78%.
Fábio Maldonado and Joey Beltran share 1 common opponent: Sergei Kharitonov.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Common opponents (1)
LossTKO (punches) · 2021
Loss Decision · 2018