Fábio Maldonado vs Keith Jardine
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
28-18-0Record17-11-2
HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'2"
75"ReachTBD
227 lbsWeight185 lbs
Team MaldonadoTeamJackson-Wink MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1577
If they lose-12→ 1553
If they win+16→ 1583
If they lose-16→ 1551
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1563 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1677 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Fábio MaldonadoKeith Jardine
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Keith Jardine55%
Fábio Maldonado 45%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Keith Jardine a 55% favorite over Fábio Maldonado in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1565 vs 1567), separated by just 2 points.
Fábio Maldonado enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Keith Jardine enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Fábio Maldonado finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Keith Jardine 59%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.