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Combat Edge Intelligence

Fábio Maldonado vs Seth Kleinbeck

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Seth Kleinbeck
us

Seth Kleinbeck

“Mass Destruction”

8-4-0Light HeavyweightEXC

1567Solid

Tale of the tape

28-18-0Record8-4-0
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height6'2"
75"ReachTBD
227 lbsWeight205 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Fábio MaldonadoNow 1565
If they win+12→ 1577
If they lose-12→ 1553
Seth KleinbeckNow 1567
If they win+16→ 1583
If they lose-16→ 1551

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1563 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1512 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

5.29
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
59%
Strike accuracy
Not available
4.31
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
54%
Strike defense
Not available
0.44
Takedown avg.
Not available
57%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
62%
Takedown defense
Not available
0.55
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Fábio MaldonadoSeth Kleinbeck
15001550160020062007200820092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

19 (68%)
KO/TKO
8 (100%)
2 (7%)
Submission
0 (0%)
7 (25%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Fábio Maldonado63%
Seth Kleinbeck 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Fábio Maldonado a 63% favorite over Seth Kleinbeck in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Seth Kleinbeck's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1565 vs 1567), separated by just 2 points.

Fábio Maldonado enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Fábio Maldonado finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Seth Kleinbeck 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.