Fabio Nascimento vs Ondřej Raška
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-6-0Record12-10-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'10"Height6'2"
--Reach-
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Team Oyama· 1643 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamJetsaam Gym Brno· 1620 avg Elo · 4 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+25→ 1483
If they lose-23→ 1435
If they win+15→ 1484
If they lose-17→ 1452
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1581 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1503 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Fabio NascimentoOndřej Raška
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Fabio Nascimento55%
Ondřej Raška 45%Elo baseline: 48%
The Combat Edge model makes Fabio Nascimento a 55% favorite over Ondřej Raška in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ondřej Raška's way (48%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1458 vs 1469), separated by just 11 points.
Fabio Nascimento enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Fabio Nascimento finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Ondřej Raška 67%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.