Fabricio Camoes vs Kurt Pellegrino
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-9-1Record16-7-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'8"
39,5"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Gracie HumaitaTeamPellegrino MMA
What's at stake
Kurt Pellegrino is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Fabricio Camoes carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1586
If they lose-10→ 1562
If they win+14→ 1630
If they lose-18→ 1598
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1608 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1593 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Fabricio CamoesKurt Pellegrino
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Kurt Pellegrino68%
Fabricio Camoes 32%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Kurt Pellegrino a 68% favorite over Fabricio Camoes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Kurt Pellegrino holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1616 to 1572, a 44-point edge.
Fabricio Camoes enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Kurt Pellegrino enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Fabricio Camoes finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Kurt Pellegrino 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.