Fabrício Werdum vs Mark Hunt
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
24-10-1Record13-14-1
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height5'10"
45,0"Reach72"
246 lbsWeight265 lbs
Werdum Combat TeamTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
Fabrício Werdum is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Mark Hunt carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+7→ 1809
If they lose-17→ 1785
If they win+17→ 1659
If they lose-7→ 1635
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1724 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1721 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Fabrício WerdumMark Hunt
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Fabrício Werdum76%
Mark Hunt 24%Elo baseline: 72%
The Combat Edge model makes Fabrício Werdum a 76% favorite over Mark Hunt in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (72%).
Fabrício Werdum holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1802 to 1642, a 160-point edge.
Mark Hunt enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Fabrício Werdum finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Mark Hunt 77%.
Fabrício Werdum and Mark Hunt share 3 common opponents: Aleksei Oleinik, Alistair Overeem and Stipe Miocic.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.