Fabrício Werdum vs Mark Hunt
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
24-10-1Record13-14-1
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height5'10"
45,0"Reach72"
246 lbsWeight265 lbs
Werdum Combat TeamTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
Fabrício Werdum is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +6 while a loss costs more — Mark Hunt carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+6→ 1809
If they lose-18→ 1785
If they win+18→ 1643
If they lose-6→ 1619
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1725 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1704 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Fabrício WerdumMark Hunt
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Fabrício Werdum83%
Mark Hunt 17%Elo baseline: 74%
The Combat Edge model makes Fabrício Werdum a 83% favorite over Mark Hunt in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (74%).
Fabrício Werdum holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1803 to 1625, a 178-point edge.
Mark Hunt enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Fabrício Werdum finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Mark Hunt 77%.
Fabrício Werdum and Mark Hunt share 3 common opponents: Aleksei Oleinik, Alistair Overeem and Stipe Miocic.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.