Fabrício Werdum vs Sergei Pavlovich
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
24-10-1Record21-3-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'3"
45,0"Reach84"
246 lbsWeight260 lbs
Werdum Combat TeamTeamEagles MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1815
If they lose-12→ 1791
If they win+16→ 1825
If they lose-16→ 1793
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1725 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1730 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Fabrício WerdumSergei Pavlovich
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Sergei Pavlovich79%
Fabrício Werdum 21%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Sergei Pavlovich a 79% favorite over Fabrício Werdum in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1803 vs 1809), separated by just 6 points.
Sergei Pavlovich enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Fabrício Werdum finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Sergei Pavlovich 76%.
Fabrício Werdum and Sergei Pavlovich share 1 common opponent: Alexander Volkov.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.