Fabrício Werdum vs Stipe Miocic
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
24-10-1Record20-5-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'4"
45,0"Reach 80"
246 lbsWeight234 lbs
Werdum Combat TeamTeamStrong Style Fight Team
What's at stake
Fabrício Werdum is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Stipe Miocic carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1814
If they lose-13→ 1790
If they win+18→ 1783
If they lose-14→ 1751
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1725 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1802 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Fabrício WerdumStipe Miocic
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Fabrício Werdum and Stipe Miocic within a point of even.
Fabrício Werdum holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1803 to 1765, a 38-point edge.
Stipe Miocic enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Fabrício Werdum finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Stipe Miocic 75%.
Fabrício Werdum and Stipe Miocic share 1 common opponent: Alistair Overeem.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.