Combat Edge Intelligence

Fabrício Werdum vs Travis Browne

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

24-10-1Record18-7-1
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'7"
45,0"Reach79,0"
246 lbsWeight244 lbs
Werdum Combat TeamTeamGlendale Fighting Club

What's at stake

Fabrício Werdum is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Travis Browne carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Fabrício WerdumNow 1803
If they win+8→ 1811
If they lose-16→ 1787
Travis BrowneNow 1696
If they win+16→ 1712
If they lose-8→ 1688

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1725 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1743 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.59
Sig. strikes / min
2.93
52%
Strike accuracy
41%
2.64
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.31
56%
Strike defense
43%
1.75
Takedown avg.
1.21
32%
Takedown accuracy
69%
32%
Takedown defense
75%
1.16
Submission avg.
0.22

Trajectory

Fabrício WerdumTravis Browne
170017501800201520162017201820192020

Win method breakdown

6 (25%)
KO/TKO
14 (78%)
12 (50%)
Submission
2 (11%)
6 (25%)
Decision
2 (11%)

Combat Edge model read

Fabrício Werdum61%
Travis Browne 39%Elo baseline: 65%

The Combat Edge model makes Fabrício Werdum a 61% favorite over Travis Browne in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (65%).

Fabrício Werdum holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1803 to 1696, a 107-point edge.

Travis Browne enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Fabrício Werdum finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Travis Browne 89%.

Fabrício Werdum and Travis Browne share 3 common opponents: Aleksei Oleinik, Alistair Overeem and Cain Velasquez.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (3)

LossDecision (split) · 2020
Aleksei Oleinik
LossSUB · 2017
WinGuillotine Choke · 2015
Cain Velasquez
LossKO/TKO · 2016
LossDEC · 2017
Alistair Overeem
WinKO/TKO · 2013