Combat Edge Intelligence

Fabrício Werdum vs Vadim Nemkov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

24-10-1Record19-2-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'0"
45,0"Reach76"
246 lbsWeight242 lbs
Werdum Combat TeamTeamFedorTeam

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Fabrício WerdumNow 1803
If they win+12→ 1815
If they lose-12→ 1791
Vadim NemkovNow 1816
If they win+15→ 1831
If they lose-17→ 1799

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1725 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1701 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.59
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
52%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.64
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
56%
Strike defense
TBD
1.75
Takedown avg.
TBD
32%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
32%
Takedown defense
TBD
1.16
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Fabrício WerdumVadim Nemkov
180020182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

6 (25%)
KO/TKO
9 (47%)
12 (50%)
Submission
6 (32%)
6 (25%)
Decision
4 (21%)

Combat Edge model read

Vadim Nemkov78%
Fabrício Werdum 22%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Vadim Nemkov a 78% favorite over Fabrício Werdum in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1803 vs 1816), separated by just 13 points.

Vadim Nemkov enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Fabrício Werdum finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Vadim Nemkov 79%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.