Fabrizio Escarrega vs Levan Khabalaev
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-2-0Record6-0-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'1"Height6'2"
-Reach74"
156 lbsWeight155 lbs
Victory Fight Club· 1674 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamLongo's MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1649
If they lose-16→ 1617
If they win+24→ 1658
If they lose-24→ 1610
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1498 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1542 · 5 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Fabrizio EscarregaLevan Khabalaev
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Levan Khabalaev56%
Fabrizio Escarrega 44%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Levan Khabalaev a 56% favorite over Fabrizio Escarrega in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1633 vs 1634), separated by just 1 points.
Levan Khabalaev enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Fabrizio Escarrega finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Levan Khabalaev 83%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.