Fabrizio Escarrega vs Nick Hein
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-2-0Record14-5-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'1"Height5'6"
-ReachTBD
156 lbsWeight155 lbs
Victory Fight Club· 1683 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamTiger Muay Thai
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1656
If they lose-16→ 1624
If they win+16→ 1651
If they lose-16→ 1619
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1507 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1599 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Fabrizio EscarregaNick Hein
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Fabrizio Escarrega54%
Nick Hein 46%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Fabrizio Escarrega a 54% favorite over Nick Hein in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1640 vs 1635), separated by just 5 points.
Nick Hein enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Fabrizio Escarrega finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Nick Hein 36%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.