Combat Edge Intelligence

Fabrizio Escarrega vs Sherron Leggett

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

9-2-0Record21-6-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'1"Height5'9"
-ReachTBD
156 lbsWeight155 lbs
Victory Fight Club· 1674 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamAgallar Combative Systems

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Fabrizio EscarregaNow 1633
If they win+16→ 1649
If they lose-16→ 1617
Sherron LeggettNow 1633
If they win+16→ 1649
If they lose-16→ 1617

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1498 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1513 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.86
TBD
Strike accuracy
52%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.08
TBD
Strike defense
48%
TBD
Takedown avg.
5.19
TBD
Takedown accuracy
80%
TBD
Takedown defense
33%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Fabrizio EscarregaSherron Leggett
1600165020102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (78%)
KO/TKO
8 (38%)
1 (11%)
Submission
7 (33%)
1 (11%)
Decision
6 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

Fabrizio Escarrega67%
Sherron Leggett 33%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Fabrizio Escarrega a 67% favorite over Sherron Leggett in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1633 vs 1633), separated by just 0 points.

Fabrizio Escarrega finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Sherron Leggett 71%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.