AdvertisementRemove ads — go Premium
Combat Edge Intelligence

Fabrizio Escarrega vs Vinicius Sacchelli Cenci

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

9-2-0Record10-2-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'1"Height6'1"
-ReachTBD
156 lbsWeight154 lbs
Victory Fight Club· 1683 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamBrazilian TKO· 1643 avg Elo · 6 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Fabrizio EscarregaNow 1640
If they win+16→ 1656
If they lose-16→ 1624
Vinicius Sacchelli CenciNow 1639
If they win+16→ 1655
If they lose-16→ 1623

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1507 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1531 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
2.90
Not available
Strike accuracy
48%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.69
Not available
Strike defense
62%
Not available
Takedown avg.
1.61
Not available
Takedown accuracy
50%
Not available
Takedown defense
0%
Not available
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Fabrizio EscarregaVinicius Sacchelli Cenci
1600165020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (78%)
KO/TKO
2 (20%)
1 (11%)
Submission
7 (70%)
1 (11%)
Decision
1 (10%)

Combat Edge model read

Fabrizio Escarrega57%
Vinicius Sacchelli Cenci 43%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Fabrizio Escarrega a 57% favorite over Vinicius Sacchelli Cenci in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1640 vs 1639), separated by just 1 points.

Fabrizio Escarrega finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Vinicius Sacchelli Cenci 90%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.